BNP_Outperformance two pager v5 – DE
This ad was published on the cash.ch website today.
The ad leads to the website
What surprised me was this payoff diagramm published in the two-pager for the 325% product.
What the investor needs to understand with this type of product: BNP will use the dividends to buy calls. This means that in a down market or one with sinking volatility, the return from this strategy will be 3-4% (the dividend yield of the stocks in the index) LOWER for the investor than if he’d have invested directly in the underlying stocks. That’s BEFORE costs of the structured product (outperformance tracker).
Cheap way to copy this strategy: Buy the high dividend paying stocks (dividend pearls) and whenever they pay the dividend reinvest that in call options.
iSTOXX Europe Next Dividend Low Risk 50
The iSTOXX Europe Next Dividend Low Risk 50 Index monthly selects companies from the STOXX Europe 600 that will pay a dividend in the near future and have historically shown low volatility. In the first step, a liquidity filter of 10 million euros is applied. In the next step, remaining companies are sorted by increasing volatility and the top third (i.e. with low volatility) are selected. From that selection list, the 50 highest ranked companies that are going to pay a dividend in the next month are chosen as index components. If less than 50 companies will pay a dividend in the next month, the highest ranked companies which are not paying a dividend are selected to complete the index. All stocks are risk-weighted.
In connection with my recent series of posts highlighting ads by Credit Suisse (Ad 1, Ad 2), Vontobel (Ad 3), Deutsche Bank, Notenstein (Raiffeisen) (Ad 4) pushing structured products such as barrier reverse convertibles, bonus certificates, it was interesting to read this comment from the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority:
Clive Adamson, director of supervision at the regulator, said: “It is particularly important in this sector that advertisements for financial products enable customers to make informed decisions. We think that more can be done to ensure that advertisements are fair, clear and not misleading.” (Guardian.co.uk, May 16th 2014)
This clearly is a problem in the ads I’ve been writing about. The term sheets are often linked to as a by-the-way. I doubt every investor buying the products is reading them. Yet it would be critical.
Also another point is a problem with the ads: the fees and costs of these complex products.
• details of fees are either missing or “buried in the terms and conditions”
In todays’ low interest rate environment these products costing maybe 100-200bp (1-2%) are performance destroyers par excellence.
The latest in the Credit Suisse series of ads for structured products (complex products). The two screenshots below are what you would see just above the headlines on the newspaper website:
Who are bonus certificates for?
- Underlying moving sideways or rising
- Underlying will not breach barrier during product lifetime
If no Barrier Event has occurred, a cash amount equal to the Denomination multiplied by the greater of (a) the Conditional Protection and (b) the sum of (x) the number one (100%) and (y) the Participation multiplied by the difference between (A) the Final Level divided by the Initial Level and (B) the number one (100%), calculated by the Calculation Agent in accordance with the following formula:
If a Barrier Event has occurred, and (a) the Final Level is at or above the Initial Level, a cash amount equal to the Denomination multiplied by the sum of (x) the number one (100%) and (y) the Participation multiplied by the difference between (A) the Final Level divided by the Initial Level and (B) the number one (100%), calculated by the Calculation Agent in accordance with the following formula:
(b) the Final Level is below the Initial Level, a cash amount equal to the Denomination multiplied by the Final Level divided by the Initial Level, calculated by the Calculation Agent in accordance with the following formula:
Dangers of Bonus Certificates
These graphs show the dangers of (multiple) bonus certificates nicely: Just one of the three underlying equities touched its barrier (Credit Suisse). Roche is up over 85% and Zurich is up 20%. However if you invested 1000 in this product you will loose 20% as Credit Suisse stock is down that much and the bonus certificate turned into a tracker certificate of the underlying that touched its barrier.
Swiss Sec. Number / ISIN 12 928 937 / CH0129289374 (WKN: CLA1RJ)
I came across this ad (see below) in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung today. Vontobel pushing equity linked bonds aka reverse convertible bonds (Aktienanleihen) with coupons of 7% to 8.5%. Most people, who have no advisor protecting their interests, will base their investment decision on the information given in this ad. In this case there is no visual or written information regarding the risk (except the general risk of loss if the issuer goes under). How this can be ethical practice I really have big question marks about. Especially as these ads are provenating from a Swiss Private Bank. These banks were famous for looking after clients interests (or providing solid services). The last decade has seen some of them change their mentality and behaviour towards maximising their profits not their customers and expanding their structured products division or investment banking in general. Such ads bring this point home nicely. It’s not fair, in my opinion, or good practice to not tell someone of the risks involved in an investment. I was taught to underpromise and overdeliver if given a choice. In this ad you are shown the maximum profit, but not the maximum loss. That means the probability of an investor being disappointed is certainly larger than of the other way round. I recently read (also in the FAZ) that the cold calling boiler room operations of our day always want to know whether the prospect has an online trading account and is self directed, because those are the ones that are least likely to spot risk. These kind of ads probably cater to the self directed investors who will not get smart advice. Add to that, that this product will cost you 1-2% and already expires next summer, when you will again have to invest and pay 1-2% through the margin built into the product, and you’ll understand that this is not an advisable long term strategy of maximising your savings or wealth.
Aktienanleihen von Vontobel
VZ4B9W, VZ4B9X, VZ4B91, VZ4B92, VZ4B98
Advertising on the website of NZZ.ch for the Barrier Reverse Convertibles of Credit suisse on Danone, L’Oréal and Sanofi in EURO:
Further information taken from website of Credit Suisse (the flash banner, of which I took screenshots, above linked to it)
This is my graphical way of showing this product:
“If the value of the Underlyings decreases, the Final Redemption Amount may be substantially lower than the Issue Price. If a Barrier has been reached or breached during the Barrier Observation Period and the Final Level of at least one Underlying is below its Strike on the Final Fixing Date, the potential loss associated with an investment in Complex Products is linked to the negative performance of the Worst-Performing Underlying. Therefore, a total or substantial loss of the amount invested in Complex Products is possible, although any such loss is limited to the amount invested.” Quote Term Sheet
Reason this product can be advertised as in first two images at top:
“The Complex Products do not constitute a collective investment scheme within the meaning of the Swiss Federal Act on Collective Investment Schemes (CISA). Therefore, the Complex Products are not subject to authorisation by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) and potential investors do not benefit from the specific investor protection provided under the CISA. The Complex Products are structured products within the meaning of the CISA.”
A reminder of how Barrier Reverse Convertibles are constructed.
Above is a screenshot of an ad I saw today while browsing the NZZ.ch website (major swiss newspaper).
Banks selling these kind of products to their clients are on the investment banking side of the fence that has earned bankers such a bad name.
The following two figures show the impact of Off Balance Sheet OTC Derivatives development at Thurgauer Kantonalbank (Ticker: TKBP) over the last two years.
We can see that there has been a sharp fall of over CHF 1 billion in the Off Balance Sheet OTC volume of the swaps.
source of data: TKB annual report 2013
This overview of option strategies can come in handy when discussing with clients or prospects how to best capitalise on their / my views for index or single equity levels and other instruments.
The data below is from a large universal bank in Switzerland. It shows that close to a quarter of the entire banks trading profits come from structured products. The fact they make 300% more money with structured products vs equity trading and equity derivatives tells you a lot about margins and how widespread the use of structured products has become. From a client perspective investing in these instruments this can’t be good news regarding the long run accumulation of returns.
This shows that universal banks tend to be milking clients or that they are proposing using a lot of tax-efficient structures, which tends to pose a problem down the road. In the latter case with tax authorities in the former with clients (if they ever get educated to the effects of structured products on long-term wealth creation).
Also see my post on equity linked bonds (and the payoff diagram of the equity linked bond in particular) to see how attractive certain structured products are for the investor, and how attractive for the seller (bank).
Issuer margin by product:
source: Deutscher Derivate Verband (DDV)
Study was commissioned by the DDV and presented by Lutz Johanning from the WHU-Otto-Beisheim School of Manangement in Valendar. He is chairholder of the Finance and Accounting Group, Empirical Market Research there.
Here are the main findings in condensed form:
Cost per year – aka Issuer Margin as calculated by the German Derivatives Association